📌 Bitcoin Liquidity & Sentiment Signal Reference

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1️⃣ Signal

Values: -1, 0, 1

Signal Interpretation
1 Short-term bullish / upside bias (final_score in top percentile)
0 Neutral (final_score in middle percentile range)
-1 Short-term bearish / downside bias (final_score in bottom percentile)

2️⃣ Final Score

Formula: final_score = liq_weight * Liquidity_Z + fng_weight * FNG_Contrarian + mom_weight * Momentum_Signal

Typical range: ~ -2.5 → +2.5 (depends on weights and inputs)

Meaning: Positive = bullish bias, Negative = bearish bias, Near zero = neutral

3️⃣ Fear & Greed Index (FNG)

Raw range: 0 → 100

Contrarian signal applied in code:

FNG Value Market Sentiment fng_signal
0–24 Extreme Fear 1 (Contrarian buy)
25–49 Fear 0 (Neutral)
50–74 Greed 0 (Neutral)
75–100 Extreme Greed -1 (Contrarian sell)

4️⃣ Momentum Signal

Values: -1, 1

Value Interpretation
1 Short-term bullish momentum
-1 Short-term bearish momentum

5️⃣ Liquidity Z-Score

Formula: liq_z = (liq_mom – rolling_mean_180d(liq_mom)) / rolling_std_180d(liq_mom)

Typical range: ~ -3 → +3 (under normal market conditions)

Z-Score Interpretation
> 2 Strong liquidity expansion → bullish for risk assets
0–2 Moderate liquidity growth → neutral / mildly bullish
0 Average liquidity growth → neutral
-2–0 Moderate contraction → mildly bearish
< -2 Strong contraction → bearish for risk assets

✅ Summary Table

Component Range / Values Meaning / Interpretation
Signal -1, 0, 1 Downside / Neutral / Upside bias
Final Score ~ -2.5 → +2.5 Combined weighted score of liquidity, sentiment, momentum
Fear & Greed Index 0 → 100 0 = extreme fear, 100 = extreme greed (contrarian applied)
FNG Contrarian -1, 0, 1 1 = buy, 0 = neutral, -1 = sell
Momentum Signal -1, 1 1 = bullish, -1 = bearish
Liquidity Z-Score ~ -3 → +3 Standard deviations above/below 180-day mean liquidity growth